2023 baseline growth forecast will stand at  4.8%  - Galt&Taggart

2023 baseline growth forecast will stand at 4.8% - Galt&Taggart

access_time2023-04-03 14:00:06

Real GDP growth eased to 5.8% y/y in Feb-23, from a 8.4% y/y growth in previous month, based on Geostat’s rapid estimates.


Cumulatively, real growth came in at 7.1% y/y in 2M23 remaining robust considering last year’s high base.



 Our 2023 baseline growth forecast is 4.8% and we expect growth to reach 6.9% if the migration impact remains strong. The observed growth in February was mainly driven by the construction, financial, trade and transportation sectors. Meanwhile, manufacturing, real estate and professional activities sectors contracted- Galt&Taggart review reads.


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